Thought it might be fun to apply the same formula I’ve been using for the AL Cy Young race the last few weeks to the NL race, even though I don’t pay much attention to minor league ball. Again, this applies only to starters. You can see the full explanation here.

Turns out the NL race is not nearly as competitive as I thought. Tim Lincecum looks like a runaway winner for the 2nd year in a row. Adam Wainwright’s 17 wins are impressive, and Chris Carpenter’s league-leading ERA and gaudy record also look good, but they both trail Lincecum in strikeouts, complete games and shutouts. Here are the NL standings thru Sept 4:

  1. Tim Lincecum, Giants 165 points
  2. Adam Wainwright, Cardinals 138 points
  3. Chris Carpenter, Cardinals 115 points
  4. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks 106 points
  5. Matt Cain, Giants 93 points
  6. J.A. Happ, Phillies 61 points
  7. Joel Pineiro, Cardinals 59 points
  8. Wandy Rodriguez, Astros 45 points
  9. Jason Marquis, Rockies 44 points
  10. Bronson Arroyo, Reds 32.5 points